Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Questionable Intelligence

Where were our lavishly financed intelligence agencies in the weeks in which Russia was assembling its forces for its invasion of Georgia? Let's consider the possibilities.

Perhaps they failed to detect the buildup. If this was the case we have been wasting our intelligence dollars and we would be well advised to fire everyone in the chain of command responsible for the failure.

A second possibility is that our 'leaders' did know in advance what was coming and did nothing except prepare the statements expressing outrage that they issued after the fact.

A realpolitik cynic would bet on a third possibility -- that the Bush administration did have advance knowledge of Russia's military aggression through some combination of intelligence and advance briefings and consultation by and with the Putin bunch. This would mean that the whole thing -- the invasion and our administration's limiting its response to the attack to harshly critical words -- was scripted ahead of time.

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